Pennsylvania polling average: Shapiro (D) 58.0% · Garrity (R) 38.0%Mean of the polls published in the 21 days to 24 Sept 2026.
Polling trend
Each point is one published poll; lines are the 21-day average of all polls. Hover or tap for institute and date.
What the polls say
Shapiro (D) leads the polling average in Pennsylvania on 58.0%, 20.0 points ahead of Garrity (R) (38.0%). The biggest shift over the past month is Shapiro (D), up 5.5 points.
3 polls from 3 institutes were published in the last 30 days of polling. The most recent is from The New York Times/The Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena University, published 24 Sept 2026. The average weighs every poll equally over 21 days; read how it works.