New Hampshire polling average: Ayotte (R) 51.3% · Warmington (D) 39.3%Mean of the polls published in the 21 days to 24 Sept 2026.
Polling trend
Each point is one published poll; lines are the 21-day average of all polls. Hover or tap for institute and date.
What the polls say
Ayotte (R) leads the polling average in New Hampshire on 51.3%, 12.0 points ahead of Warmington (D) (39.3%). The biggest shift over the past month is Ayotte (R), up 2.3 points.
4 polls from 3 institutes were published in the last 30 days of polling. The most recent is from University of New Hampshire, published 24 Sept 2026. The average weighs every poll equally over 21 days; read how it works.