Mitchell Research 1 Aug 2026 28 Jul 2026 – 29 Jul 2026 332 — James (R) 50.0% +22.0 percentage points Johnson (R) 22.0% −1.0 percentage points Cox (R) 13.0% −14.0 percentage points Nesbitt (R) 5.0% +1.0 percentage points Source for Mitchell Research poll (opens in a new tab) Emerson College 30 Jul 2026 26 Jul 2026 – 27 Jul 2026 350 — James (R) 48.0% new Johnson (R) 33.0% new Cox (R) 13.0% new Nesbitt (R) 6.0% new Source for Emerson College poll (opens in a new tab) co/efficient (R) 16 Jul 2026* 14 Jul 2026 – 16 Jul 2026 773 — James (R) 36.0% +1.0 percentage points Johnson (R) 23.0% ±0.0 percentage points Cox (R) 21.0% +1.0 percentage points Nesbitt (R) 3.0% −1.0 percentage points Source for co/efficient (R) poll (opens in a new tab) co/efficient (R) 3 Jul 2026* 30 Jun 2026 – 3 Jul 2026 1,101 — James (R) 35.0% new Johnson (R) 23.0% new Cox (R) 20.0% new Nesbitt (R) 4.0% new Source for co/efficient (R) poll (opens in a new tab) OnMessage Inc. (R) 30 Jun 2026* 28 Jun 2026 – 30 Jun 2026 800 — James (R) 46.0% +5.0 percentage points Johnson (R) 21.0% +3.0 percentage points Cox (R) 14.0% +7.0 percentage points Source for OnMessage Inc. (R) poll (opens in a new tab) Susquehanna Polling & Research 25 Jun 2026 9 Jun 2026 – 14 Jun 2026 175 — James (R) 38.0% new Cox (R) 20.0% new Johnson (R) 10.0% new Nesbitt (R) 3.0% new Source for Susquehanna Polling & Research poll (opens in a new tab) Mitchell Research 15 Jun 2026 11 Jun 2026 – 13 Jun 2026 404 — James (R) 28.0% −4.0 percentage points Cox (R) 27.0% +8.0 percentage points Johnson (R) 23.0% ±0.0 percentage points Nesbitt (R) 4.0% −3.0 percentage points Source for Mitchell Research poll (opens in a new tab) Strategic National (R) 15 Jun 2026 10 Jun 2026 – 14 Jun 2026 500 — Johnson (R) 27.0% new James (R) 24.0% new Cox (R) 12.0% new Nesbitt (R) 6.0% new Source for Strategic National (R) poll (opens in a new tab) Tarrance Group (R) 15 Jun 2026 1 Jun 2026 – 4 Jun 2026 500 — James (R) 38.0% new Johnson (R) 26.0% new Cox (R) 22.0% new Nesbitt (R) 12.0% new Source for Tarrance Group (R) poll (opens in a new tab) TIPP Insights (R) 1 Jun 2026 20 May 2026 – 23 May 2026 555 — James (R) 31.0% new Cox (R) 20.0% new Johnson (R) 19.0% new Nesbitt (R) 3.0% new Source for TIPP Insights (R) poll (opens in a new tab) 1892 Polling (R) 18 May 2026 12 May 2026 – 14 May 2026 681 — James (R) 24.0% −2.0 percentage points Johnson (R) 23.0% +2.0 percentage points Cox (R) 7.0% +1.0 percentage points Nesbitt (R) 7.0% +3.0 percentage points Source for 1892 Polling (R) poll (opens in a new tab) Mitchell Research 11 May 2026 1 May 2026 – 7 May 2026 400 — James (R) 32.0% new Johnson (R) 23.0% new Cox (R) 19.0% new Nesbitt (R) 7.0% new Source for Mitchell Research poll (opens in a new tab) Glengariff Group 28 Apr 2026 21 Apr 2026 – 24 Apr 2026 500 — James (R) 37.0% new Johnson (R) 20.0% new Cox (R) 10.0% new Nesbitt (R) 7.0% new Leonard (R) 3.0% new Source for Glengariff Group poll (opens in a new tab) OnMessage Inc. (R) 20 Apr 2026 15 Apr 2026 – 18 Apr 2026 400 — James (R) 41.0% +4.0 percentage points Johnson (R) 18.0% −1.0 percentage points Cox (R) 7.0% −3.0 percentage points Nesbitt (R) 5.0% +1.0 percentage points Source for OnMessage Inc. (R) poll (opens in a new tab) OnMessage Inc. (R) 16 Apr 2026 16 Mar 2026 – 19 Mar 2026 509 — James (R) 37.0% new Johnson (R) 19.0% new Cox (R) 10.0% new Nesbitt (R) 4.0% new Leonard (R) 1.0% new Source for OnMessage Inc. (R) poll (opens in a new tab) 1892 Polling (R) 30 Mar 2026 25 Mar 2026 – 26 Mar 2026 600 — James (R) 26.0% new Johnson (R) 21.0% new Cox (R) 6.0% new Nesbitt (R) 4.0% new Leonard (R) 1.0% new Source for 1892 Polling (R) poll (opens in a new tab) JMC Analytics 24 Mar 2026 21 Mar 2026 – 23 Mar 2026 450 — James (R) 23.0% new Johnson (R) 20.0% new Cox (R) 6.0% new Nesbitt (R) 5.0% new Leonard (R) 3.0% new Source for JMC Analytics poll (opens in a new tab)